Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.1% | 16.9% | -8.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (121-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 17-17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 27 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 24 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 29 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 18 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter