Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (30.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -19 (88-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 8-15 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 13-22 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 5-15 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter