Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✓ (35.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -41 (99-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 31 | 13-20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 30 | 12-18 | 8-10 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 27 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 25 | 11-27 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 19 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 19 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 7 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter