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2023-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 13-22 3-9 2-3 0 6 1 1 31 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 3-5 0-0 1-2 15 2 2 0 7 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 33 9-17 5-10 2-2 8 2 0 0 25 - -
Mike Conley * 31 3-13 1-7 0-0 9 4 1 0 7 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 25 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Kyle Anderson 29 3-9 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 2 6 - -
Naz Reid 23 5-13 2-4 3-5 6 2 0 1 15 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 8-18 1-4 12-15 3 5 4 0 29 - -
Chris Paul * 34 7-15 1-5 4-4 3 6 2 0 19 - -
Josh Okogie * 32 4-10 1-3 1-2 9 0 2 1 10 - -
Kevin Durant * 28 5-18 2-4 4-5 8 4 0 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 28 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 10 - -
Torrey Craig 22 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo 19 3-6 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 3 6 - -
Cameron Payne 13 5-10 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Terrence Ross 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
T.J. Warren 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 - -

* = starter