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2023-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -11 (110-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 13-20 1-1 11-14 10 4 2 2 38 36 -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 7-12 2-4 1-3 4 4 1 0 17 14 -
LeBron James * 31 10-19 1-3 4-4 7 4 2 0 25 19 -
Austin Reaves * 28 7-8 1-2 4-4 2 5 1 0 19 19 -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 24 3-5 2-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 8 13 -
Dennis Schroder 20 2-7 0-2 4-5 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
Troy Brown Jr. 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 -
Rui Hachimura 16 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 5 -
Malik Beasley 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 1 -
Wenyen Gabriel 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
Lonnie Walker IV 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Davon Reed 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 9-15 0-2 4-6 4 5 2 2 22 20 -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 12-16 3-4 2-2 12 6 0 0 29 31 -
Zach LaVine * 35 8-14 0-2 0-0 3 6 3 0 16 14 -
Patrick Beverley * 24 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 -
Alex Caruso * 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 7 -
Coby White 25 6-11 3-7 2-2 2 9 1 0 17 18 -
Patrick Williams 24 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 -1 -
Ayo Dosunmu 18 5-9 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 12 5 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 3 -
Javonte Green 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Carlik Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dalen Terry 1 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter