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2023-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 40 8-17 3-7 4-4 6 5 2 0 23 - -
Luka Doncic * 37 9-20 4-9 2-2 10 8 0 1 24 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 36 8-15 5-10 0-0 2 2 0 0 21 - -
Reggie Bullock * 33 3-10 1-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Dwight Powell * 10 1-1 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Maxi Kleber 25 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 5 - -
Josh Green 19 2-5 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Jaden Hardy 18 2-7 2-4 2-2 2 4 0 1 8 - -
Christian Wood 12 3-3 1-1 2-3 4 0 1 0 9 - -
JaVale McGee 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 4-14 2-6 5-7 4 12 3 0 15 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 34 6-13 4-9 6-6 4 4 2 0 22 - -
Joel Embiid * 33 8-17 1-3 8-9 9 3 1 1 25 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 5-7 0-2 3-3 4 2 1 0 13 - -
P.J. Tucker * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
De'Anthony Melton 32 5-9 5-6 2-4 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Georges Niang 19 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 2 1 2 14 - -
Jalen McDaniels 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 14 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 1 5 - -
Danuel House Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter