Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +9 (101-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 31 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 27 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 18 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes * | 36 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 6-11 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 28 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter