Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -13 (136-149). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 20-30 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 51 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 14-18 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 40 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 7-9 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter