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2023-03-29

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 9-22 1-1 7-7 8 7 0 1 26 - -
Trey Murphy III * 37 6-9 4-6 5-5 3 3 1 2 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 6-17 3-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 15 - -
Herbert Jones * 35 5-11 3-5 0-0 6 4 2 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 5-8 0-1 1-2 9 5 0 0 11 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 4-8 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 8 - -
Josh Richardson 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Naji Marshall 13 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Dyson Daniels 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 14-25 8-15 3-4 8 8 3 0 39 - -
Klay Thompson * 34 6-16 5-11 0-0 2 1 2 1 17 - -
Draymond Green * 32 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 13 2 0 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 31 5-5 1-1 2-3 4 1 0 1 13 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 22 4-8 1-4 4-5 7 2 1 0 13 - -
Jordan Poole 29 8-15 2-6 3-4 5 2 1 1 21 - -
Kevon Looney 22 0-4 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 1 3 - -
Anthony Lamb 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Gary Payton II 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter