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2023-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (113-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 32 8-21 5-12 4-4 3 3 2 1 25 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 5-10 2-6 2-2 7 2 1 2 14 - -
Paolo Banchero * 28 9-18 3-7 3-6 11 5 0 1 24 - -
Markelle Fultz * 28 5-9 0-2 1-1 1 5 2 0 11 - -
Gary Harris * 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Cole Anthony 27 5-11 0-3 0-0 5 5 2 0 10 - -
Jalen Suggs 23 1-10 0-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Admiral Schofield 16 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Goga Bitadze 13 5-7 1-2 2-2 6 1 1 3 13 - -
Caleb Houstan 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Moritz Wagner 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 36 8-19 3-8 12-14 4 5 3 0 31 - -
Xavier Tillman * 35 10-12 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 20 - -
Tyus Jones * 33 3-12 0-7 1-2 6 8 2 0 7 - -
Dillon Brooks * 31 5-14 2-8 1-2 3 3 1 0 13 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 7-11 2-2 0-1 10 0 0 3 16 - -
Luke Kennard 27 6-8 4-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 16 - -
Santi Aldama 23 3-5 1-1 2-2 5 1 2 1 9 - -
John Konchar 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 2 1 - -
David Roddy 10 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter