Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (106-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 13-21 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 21 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Max Strus | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 41 | 10-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 28 | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 38 | 9-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 10-20 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 27 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 24 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter