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2023-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 41 10-22 1-6 6-6 2 5 0 1 27 - -
Lamar Stevens * 40 2-6 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 1 4 - -
Evan Mobley * 40 10-13 0-0 0-2 15 6 1 4 20 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 40 15-33 5-12 9-9 5 5 2 0 44 - -
Caris LeVert * 33 4-6 1-2 0-3 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Ricky Rubio 19 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Cedi Osman 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Mamadi Diakite 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 39 3-12 0-2 1-1 6 0 0 0 7 - -
Trae Young * 36 4-15 2-3 6-9 1 10 1 0 16 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 11-22 3-7 4-5 4 5 2 0 29 - -
John Collins * 29 4-9 3-4 1-2 7 2 0 0 12 - -
Clint Capela * 27 6-10 0-0 0-1 10 2 0 0 12 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 22 4-8 3-6 1-1 2 2 1 0 12 - -
Saddiq Bey 21 4-8 1-5 2-2 10 3 1 0 11 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 20 5-5 0-0 11-12 9 0 0 3 21 - -
Vit Krejci 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter