Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 93.8% | 6.2% | -15.0 | ✗ (34.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +19 (130-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 31 | 11-19 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 24 | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 26 | 9-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - | |
| Al Horford * | 25 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 25 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 23 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 9 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 36 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 14-21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 32 | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 28 | 9-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 17 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Xavier Cooks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter