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2023-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 39 8-15 1-4 3-4 3 2 2 0 20 12 -
Anthony Edwards * 38 6-15 1-3 4-8 5 7 0 0 17 14 -
Kyle Anderson * 36 5-10 2-3 3-4 4 11 2 0 15 22 -
Rudy Gobert * 35 5-9 0-0 6-8 16 4 0 2 16 29 -
Mike Conley * 27 6-8 1-2 3-4 2 3 1 0 16 14 -
Naz Reid 20 7-12 2-5 2-4 4 1 1 1 18 13 -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 6 -
Jaylen Nowell 16 6-11 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 14 8 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 11-14 0-0 2-3 10 4 1 0 24 25 -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 10-20 1-6 8-10 4 6 0 1 29 20 -
Harrison Barnes * 35 5-12 0-3 9-11 5 1 0 0 19 13 -
Keegan Murray * 27 1-8 1-6 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 2 -
Kevin Huerter * 26 4-7 3-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 13 10 -
Malik Monk 26 4-13 0-4 4-4 1 3 0 0 12 3 -
Trey Lyles 22 1-6 0-2 3-4 11 0 2 0 5 12 -
Davion Mitchell 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
Alex Len 7 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 2 4 7 -
Kessler Edwards 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter