Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 33 | 12-21 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 25 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 21 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 21 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 16 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter