Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (117-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 13-23 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 33 | 8-15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Hayes * | 37 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 34 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 31 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 11-12 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 20 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 24 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 14 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter