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2023-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (96-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 34 1-3 0-0 8-12 18 2 0 1 10 - -
Anthony Edwards * 34 5-14 2-8 1-2 4 3 1 0 13 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 5-16 4-9 0-0 5 3 2 0 14 - -
Mike Conley * 31 4-11 4-9 0-2 2 2 2 0 12 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 9 0-2 0-1 1-4 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Kyle Anderson 31 5-10 1-3 1-2 10 7 5 1 12 - -
Naz Reid 20 10-17 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 23 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 - -
Taurean Prince 13 1-2 0-1 3-3 1 2 0 0 5 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 8-23 4-13 0-0 6 9 1 0 20 - -
Draymond Green * 35 5-9 1-3 1-2 7 5 1 0 12 - -
Klay Thompson * 34 5-17 5-11 0-0 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Kevon Looney * 29 1-4 0-0 1-2 7 2 2 1 3 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Poole 30 8-16 3-8 8-9 4 2 2 0 27 - -
Anthony Lamb 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Gary Payton II 15 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 14 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 5 - -
JaMychal Green 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter