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2023-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% -
Bradley-Terry 72.1% 27.9% -
Margin 87.0% 13.0% -10.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Log Adjusted 64.5% 35.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 37 9-14 2-2 3-3 5 4 2 0 23 - -
Josh Giddey * 35 7-12 3-5 0-1 11 6 1 2 17 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 9-17 0-1 13-15 2 3 4 0 31 - -
Luguentz Dort * 28 2-14 0-6 2-2 6 1 2 0 6 - -
Jaylin Williams * 26 3-8 0-3 1-2 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Joe 28 5-12 5-10 5-5 7 5 2 0 20 - -
Tre Mann 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 13 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Ousmane Dieng 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Aaron Wiggins 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaedon Sharpe * 35 9-13 3-5 8-11 5 3 0 0 29 - -
Drew Eubanks * 32 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 4 1 6 7 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 32 3-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono * 26 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 - -
Trendon Watford * 10 3-4 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Nassir Little 31 11-21 3-6 3-3 6 0 0 0 28 - -
Keon Johnson 21 4-9 2-4 4-6 1 5 0 0 14 - -
Cam Reddish 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Kevin Knox II 15 4-9 3-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Jabari Walker 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 - -

* = starter