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2023-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 39 7-16 5-11 0-0 3 0 0 0 19 - -
Deni Avdija * 34 6-13 1-4 2-4 9 7 1 0 15 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 9-17 4-7 4-5 6 2 2 0 26 - -
Delon Wright * 33 2-9 1-4 0-0 7 8 2 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford * 28 3-9 0-0 4-6 8 3 0 1 10 - -
Johnny Davis 29 5-8 3-4 2-4 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Jordan Goodwin 20 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Anthony Gill 8 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Kendrick Nunn 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Xavier Cooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 37 11-21 4-10 3-4 8 1 1 3 29 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 10-21 5-9 3-3 4 7 3 1 28 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 7-17 1-3 4-4 11 2 1 0 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 5-14 0-2 3-3 5 6 3 1 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 6-9 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 12 - -
Chris Boucher 22 3-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 - -
Christian Koloko 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 1 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Precious Achiuwa 5 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Will Barton 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter