Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (32.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +44 (137-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Collins * | 30 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 26 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 24 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 18-29 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 29 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 32 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - | |
| Sam Hauser * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 26 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| JD Davison | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter