🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-03-26

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (32.2 off)
Pythagorean 25.7% 74.3% -
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -
Points Off/Def 14.2% 85.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +44 (137-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Collins * 30 8-18 2-5 3-5 7 4 0 0 21 - -
Devin Vassell * 26 4-12 1-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 9 - -
Tre Jones * 26 4-9 1-1 2-3 5 4 3 0 11 - -
Malaki Branham * 24 7-13 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 19 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Devonte' Graham 22 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 2 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 22 5-10 1-4 2-3 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Doug McDermott 20 2-10 1-7 2-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Romeo Langford 18 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 0 2 0 8 - -
Julian Champagnie 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Gorgui Dieng 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Dominick Barlow 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Blake Wesley 6 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 36 18-29 2-10 3-5 13 3 1 0 41 - -
Derrick White * 32 7-11 4-6 1-2 8 2 1 2 19 - -
Sam Hauser * 28 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Marcus Smart * 27 4-10 2-6 3-4 3 4 0 2 13 - -
Al Horford * 22 2-6 2-6 0-0 9 4 1 3 6 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 26 6-12 1-3 7-8 5 9 1 1 20 - -
Robert Williams III 18 5-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 11 - -
Grant Williams 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Mike Muscala 11 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -
JD Davison 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Blake Griffin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter