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2023-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -4 (119-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 6-10 1-2 2-2 8 0 3 5 15 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 11-18 3-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 25 - -
Xavier Tillman * 30 7-10 0-0 1-2 8 3 3 2 15 - -
Ja Morant * 29 9-17 0-3 9-11 3 6 1 0 27 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 22 5-8 2-3 1-2 2 5 0 0 13 - -
Luke Kennard 22 5-10 4-9 0-0 7 2 1 0 14 - -
Santi Aldama 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
David Roddy 12 2-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 37 3-11 1-5 6-8 2 9 0 0 13 - -
Trae Young * 34 7-14 3-5 11-12 2 10 0 0 28 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 8-20 1-8 0-0 5 2 2 0 17 - -
John Collins * 29 4-11 0-1 1-2 10 1 0 0 9 - -
Clint Capela * 28 8-11 0-0 2-2 16 1 1 4 18 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 22 4-9 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 6-6 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 1 13 - -
Saddiq Bey 18 4-11 0-4 1-1 3 1 0 0 9 - -
AJ Griffin 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter