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2023-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% -
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (108-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-13 2-2 1-2 6 10 0 1 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 13-19 2-5 4-4 2 4 0 0 32 - -
Alex Caruso * 25 2-5 1-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 7 - -
Patrick Beverley * 22 4-7 1-3 1-2 4 5 1 0 10 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Coby White 26 5-17 3-8 0-0 7 6 1 0 13 - -
Patrick Williams 25 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 18 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 4 1 1 8 - -
Andre Drummond 17 5-6 0-0 2-3 8 0 2 0 12 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 37 6-10 1-3 0-1 3 7 0 0 13 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 6-8 0-0 3-6 9 5 1 1 15 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 4-10 2-6 7-8 3 5 2 0 17 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 32 7-13 4-9 0-0 6 1 2 2 18 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
LeBron James 29 6-11 0-2 7-8 8 3 0 0 19 - -
Malik Beasley 27 6-14 6-14 0-1 3 2 0 0 18 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 2 - -

* = starter