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2023-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% - ✗
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 ✗ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - ✗
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 59.9% 40.1% - ✗

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 40 12-29 7-16 9-10 12 8 2 2 40 - -
Kyrie Irving * 35 5-15 2-6 6-6 4 3 2 1 18 - -
Reggie Bullock * 33 1-5 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Josh Green * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Dwight Powell * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 36 5-14 3-9 2-2 5 1 1 1 15 - -
Maxi Kleber 32 4-9 4-7 2-2 4 1 1 2 14 - -
Christian Wood 17 3-4 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Jaden Hardy 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 - -
Justin Holiday 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Svi Mykhailiuk * 33 1-7 1-4 4-4 3 3 2 0 7 - -
Gordon Hayward * 32 8-14 1-1 5-5 6 4 0 0 22 - -
Mark Williams * 32 5-9 0-0 5-7 16 1 0 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 9-22 3-8 0-0 12 4 1 1 21 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 28 5-11 1-4 3-4 5 6 1 0 14 - -
Bryce McGowens 20 3-8 2-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Theo Maledon 19 2-7 0-3 2-2 5 5 1 0 6 - -
JT Thor 17 3-4 3-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Kai Jones 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
James Bouknight 10 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 5 - -

* = starter