Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (129-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 13-22 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 9-19 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 10-11 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 3 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter