Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✗ (36.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -29 (100-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 38 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 10-11 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 25 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 24 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Joe Harris | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Dru Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Max Strus | 34 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter