Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (143-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 23 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 33 | 12-17 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 28 | 5-16 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 31 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 24 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 14 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter