Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.6% | 16.4% | -9.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 38 | 12-24 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 9-22 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 17 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 15-21 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 26 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 23 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 18 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter