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2023-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (28.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -28 (96-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 30 10-13 1-1 2-2 15 4 1 0 23 30 -
Zach LaVine * 30 12-20 6-9 3-4 4 8 0 1 33 26 -
Patrick Williams * 26 3-12 2-4 2-2 3 0 1 3 10 5 -
Patrick Beverley * 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 6 4 1 1 4 11 -
Alex Caruso * 16 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Coby White 31 7-9 4-5 1-1 4 9 2 0 19 25 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 26 4-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 2 8 7 -
Ayo Dosunmu 24 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 13 10 -
Dalen Terry 17 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 3 0 0 6 9 -
Andre Drummond 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 1 2 6 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaedon Sharpe * 38 9-20 4-11 2-2 4 2 0 1 24 11 -
Trendon Watford * 27 5-10 0-2 5-5 6 3 0 1 15 15 -
Drew Eubanks * 24 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 1 12 16 -
Ryan Arcidiacono * 21 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 6 2 0 0 3 -
Matisse Thybulle * 14 2-3 1-2 0-2 0 1 1 0 5 4 -
Keon Johnson 26 4-9 1-4 3-3 2 6 4 0 12 15 -
Jabari Walker 23 6-13 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 14 6 -
Cam Reddish 22 1-6 0-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 4 -
Kevin Knox II 17 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 1 -
Nassir Little 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
John Butler Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter