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2023-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - ✗
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✗ (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - ✗
Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - ✗

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (109-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Svi Mykhailiuk * 36 3-6 3-5 4-5 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Gordon Hayward * 32 9-15 1-2 6-6 3 9 0 0 25 - -
P.J. Washington * 29 11-22 2-8 4-4 6 3 2 1 28 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 29 4-9 2-4 3-4 5 9 1 0 13 - -
Nick Richards * 26 5-10 0-0 0-3 11 1 0 0 10 - -
Bryce McGowens 22 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Mark Williams 21 6-9 0-0 1-3 8 2 0 1 13 - -
Theo Maledon 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 18 4-8 2-5 2-2 3 1 3 2 12 - -
James Bouknight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 38 6-16 1-8 5-7 9 7 1 1 18 - -
Luka Doncic * 37 12-23 2-9 8-10 10 8 0 1 34 - -
Reggie Bullock * 34 2-4 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Powell * 20 7-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 14 - -
Maxi Kleber * 19 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Christian Wood 26 5-10 1-3 3-4 6 2 0 1 14 - -
Frank Ntilikina 21 3-6 1-3 1-1 1 3 0 1 8 - -
Josh Green 21 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Jaden Hardy 20 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Justin Holiday 0 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter