Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (36.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +37 (151-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 30 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 23 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 20 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 10-11 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant | 19 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 10 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter