Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +21 (118-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 41 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 23 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 32 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 12-19 | 2-6 | 6-10 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 24 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 17 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter