Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +12 (136-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 5-9 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 27 | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 27 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 21 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 18 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert * | 36 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 33 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 25 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 29 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 28 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter