Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +25 (120-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 25 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 37 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 13-24 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 29 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter