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2023-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -
Points Off/Def 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +19 (115-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 34 7-20 2-10 2-3 2 2 1 0 18 3 -
Gordon Hayward * 30 5-12 1-5 1-2 3 6 1 0 12 10 -
Nick Richards * 29 3-4 0-0 3-3 14 1 0 0 9 20 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 12 4-10 0-3 0-1 3 2 2 0 8 5 -
Terry Rozier * 9 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 8 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 29 6-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 15 7 -
JT Thor 27 3-5 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 2 9 10 -
Bryce McGowens 25 2-5 0-3 4-5 1 6 0 1 8 11 -
Dennis Smith Jr. 21 4-8 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 8 7 -
Kai Jones 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 6 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 36 8-19 3-8 1-1 2 3 1 0 20 7 -
Brandon Ingram * 34 10-23 1-6 9-9 11 10 1 0 30 29 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 34 10-16 0-1 0-0 19 3 1 0 20 27 -
Trey Murphy III * 33 7-14 4-8 1-1 2 1 4 0 19 12 -
Herbert Jones * 28 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 3 -
Naji Marshall 21 6-10 1-3 3-4 4 3 1 0 16 14 -
Josh Richardson 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 7 -
Larry Nance Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
Dyson Daniels 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 -
Willy Hernangomez 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaxson Hayes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Garrett Temple 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter