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2023-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 40 11-16 1-3 10-12 6 5 0 0 33 28 -
Chris Paul * 30 8-17 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 18 10 -
Torrey Craig * 26 5-10 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 1 14 8 -
Bismack Biyombo * 25 3-4 0-0 0-2 8 2 1 2 6 15 -
Josh Okogie * 19 0-5 0-3 5-6 3 2 0 1 5 6 -
Landry Shamet 29 6-13 3-8 0-0 3 3 2 0 15 10 -
Jock Landale 20 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 5 -
T.J. Warren 19 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 5 -
Cameron Payne 13 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 2 7 7 -
Terrence Ross 12 1-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -
Darius Bazley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 10-18 0-0 7-10 9 5 1 0 27 24 -
Austin Reaves * 38 6-10 1-1 12-13 4 11 1 0 25 31 -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 9-13 3-6 5-7 1 6 1 2 26 23 -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 26 5-5 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 0 13 13 -
Troy Brown Jr. * 25 2-6 1-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 6 9 -
Dennis Schroder 28 3-7 1-1 6-6 4 2 0 0 13 12 -
Malik Beasley 19 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 4 -
Wenyen Gabriel 16 2-2 0-0 2-5 2 1 2 0 6 9 -
Rui Hachimura 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter