Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +1 (125-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 32 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 32 | 6-16 | 3-4 | 14-16 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 31 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 19 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Anderson * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 26 | 8-18 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 25 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter