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2023-03-23

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (31.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% -
Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% -
Points Off/Def 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +36 (130-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 31 5-16 3-9 3-5 4 4 2 1 16 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 26 4-9 1-4 5-5 3 3 2 0 14 - -
Malaki Branham * 24 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Zach Collins * 23 5-9 1-4 1-3 7 1 1 1 12 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 22 6-14 0-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 13 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 27 6-13 0-4 0-0 7 2 0 2 12 - -
Blake Wesley 27 2-12 0-2 2-3 5 6 0 0 6 - -
Julian Champagnie 25 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Gorgui Dieng 18 2-3 2-3 1-2 6 4 0 1 7 - -
Dominick Barlow 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 28 8-15 1-6 2-2 3 10 1 0 19 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 3-6 1-3 4-4 2 0 0 2 11 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 23 14-23 1-4 2-5 14 2 0 1 31 - -
Jrue Holiday * 22 3-7 0-2 1-1 2 8 1 0 7 - -
Grayson Allen * 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 4 1 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 27 2-7 1-5 0-0 10 1 1 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 25 7-14 3-6 2-8 10 0 1 0 19 - -
Joe Ingles 22 5-7 4-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 14 - -
Jevon Carter 21 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Wesley Matthews 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 6 2-2 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Lindell Wigginton 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter