Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (130-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 38 | 12-18 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 11-15 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 35 | 14-20 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 26 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| David Roddy * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant | 23 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter