Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (125-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 24 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 30 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 26 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 41 | 11-27 | 2-10 | 6-10 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 38 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 25 | 10-18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 24 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter