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2023-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -4 (114-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 35 11-17 3-5 0-0 2 10 0 0 25 - -
Buddy Hield * 30 5-8 1-3 2-3 6 3 0 1 13 - -
Myles Turner * 28 6-9 0-0 4-6 7 3 0 1 16 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 28 3-5 3-3 6-6 2 0 1 1 15 - -
Oshae Brissett * 23 4-8 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Nesmith 25 3-7 1-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 9 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 5-12 0-0 4-4 1 7 2 1 14 - -
Jordan Nwora 18 3-7 2-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Jackson 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 42 7-22 3-12 11-12 2 11 2 0 28 - -
Pascal Siakam * 39 11-17 0-2 9-11 10 7 0 1 31 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 37 2-13 1-7 2-2 6 1 4 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 35 10-12 0-0 3-9 8 1 2 2 23 - -
Will Barton * 22 2-8 0-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 27 4-10 1-3 2-2 6 0 1 3 11 - -
Malachi Flynn 17 2-5 2-4 2-3 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Christian Koloko 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter