Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.8% | 12.2% | -10.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -14 (104-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 12-16 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 7-16 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 22 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 17 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Xavier Cooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter