Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -23 (109-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 37 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 14-25 | 2-7 | 6-11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 25 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 39 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 30 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 20 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 19 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter