Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.6 | ✗ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +22 (129-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Bagley III * | 41 | 12-19 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 33 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 30 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Buddy Boeheim | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 30 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 13-15 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 27 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 19 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter