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2023-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porzingis * 38 12-22 3-7 3-3 6 3 1 2 30 - -
Corey Kispert * 35 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Bradley Beal * 31 4-15 0-4 8-10 5 7 0 0 16 - -
Monte Morris * 31 5-10 2-5 2-2 2 8 0 0 14 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 6-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 12 - -
Deni Avdija 33 5-6 3-4 2-3 10 3 2 0 15 - -
Jordan Goodwin 19 2-4 0-2 3-5 3 3 1 0 7 - -
Delon Wright 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Davis 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Kendrick Nunn 4 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 - -
Anthony Gill 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 39 7-12 2-3 4-4 4 6 1 0 20 - -
Paolo Banchero * 36 6-9 0-0 6-6 9 8 1 0 18 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 34 3-8 2-5 6-6 9 2 0 1 14 - -
Markelle Fultz * 31 8-16 0-3 1-2 5 5 2 1 17 - -
Gary Harris * 24 7-10 6-9 2-2 2 0 2 2 22 - -
Cole Anthony 30 7-14 1-4 1-1 7 5 1 0 16 - -
Kevon Harris 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Moritz Wagner 13 5-10 1-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 15 - -

* = starter