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2023-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 47 8-20 2-9 8-10 2 7 3 1 26 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 46 10-22 0-3 5-6 8 2 3 1 25 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 46 8-12 1-2 4-4 12 2 4 0 21 - -
Patrick Beverley * 39 2-10 2-8 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 1-6 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 1 6 - -
Coby White 27 4-9 1-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 2 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 4-10 1-4 1-3 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Javonte Green 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 46 6-11 2-4 0-0 9 1 1 1 14 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 46 9-19 2-7 2-2 5 6 0 1 22 - -
James Harden * 46 2-14 0-6 1-1 7 12 1 1 5 - -
Joel Embiid * 44 11-22 0-2 15-17 16 1 1 3 37 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 23 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 4 - -
De'Anthony Melton 39 7-15 5-12 0-0 6 1 4 1 19 - -
Paul Reed 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Georges Niang 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Shake Milton 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Jalen McDaniels 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter