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2023-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Log Adjusted 61.2% 38.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 32 7-18 4-12 2-3 4 1 0 0 20 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 30 7-10 1-1 3-4 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 28 5-9 0-2 10-11 7 5 0 0 20 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 28 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 2-9 1-2 3-4 4 8 2 0 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 20 2-6 2-3 1-2 6 2 0 1 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 20 2-6 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Jackson 19 5-7 0-0 2-4 10 0 1 3 12 - -
Jalen Smith 19 4-7 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 1 10 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 36 4-11 1-6 1-4 2 3 2 1 10 - -
Terry Rozier * 36 7-19 2-6 7-7 1 9 2 0 23 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 8-15 1-4 5-6 3 5 1 0 22 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 33 10-17 3-7 5-9 3 0 4 0 28 - -
Nick Richards * 26 5-8 0-0 4-4 17 1 0 2 14 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 25 1-10 0-2 0-0 5 6 2 0 2 - -
Kai Jones 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 15 2-4 2-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 7 - -
JT Thor 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Bryce McGowens 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter