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2023-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% -
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 37 10-23 0-8 1-2 8 7 2 0 21 - -
Paolo Banchero * 35 8-20 1-4 4-4 6 3 0 0 21 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 6-11 2-5 2-2 11 0 1 0 16 - -
Markelle Fultz * 33 5-12 1-2 1-3 3 10 1 0 12 - -
Gary Harris * 22 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Cole Anthony 27 5-15 3-8 4-4 5 3 1 1 17 - -
Kevon Harris 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 2 3 - -
Caleb Houstan 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Bol Bol 5 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 34 6-15 0-0 3-6 11 1 2 4 15 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 6-12 4-8 2-2 1 6 0 2 18 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 29 4-8 4-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Malik Beasley * 25 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 2 - -
Austin Reaves 30 9-14 1-4 16-18 6 6 0 0 35 - -
Dennis Schroder 24 3-9 3-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 12 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 6 - -
Rui Hachimura 18 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 8 - -

* = starter