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2023-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (118-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 9-21 3-8 2-3 4 11 1 0 23 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 5-14 1-5 2-2 12 7 2 0 13 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 36 8-12 4-5 2-2 4 1 1 1 22 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 31 10-18 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 20 - -
Scottie Barnes * 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 33 6-18 5-10 1-2 3 0 1 0 18 - -
Precious Achiuwa 19 2-3 0-1 1-2 5 3 0 1 5 - -
Chris Boucher 16 2-4 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Will Barton 13 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 9-9 1-1 3-7 13 10 0 2 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 32 7-13 5-8 1-2 8 5 0 1 20 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 9-15 1-6 7-7 5 2 1 2 26 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 3-8 1-3 4-4 0 7 1 1 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 25 1-7 0-6 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Bobby Portis 24 6-13 2-6 0-0 9 1 0 0 14 - -
Joe Ingles 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 5 1 0 6 - -
Jevon Carter 20 3-9 3-9 0-0 1 3 0 1 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 18 3-4 1-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 8 - -

* = starter