Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (126-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 39 | 10-25 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 29 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - | |
| John Collins * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 19 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 12-17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 21 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 32 | 13-21 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 18 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter