Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (124-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 18-28 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 46 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 16 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 27 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter